Sunday, February 24, 2008

South Wyomings Best Uranium Discovery?


Source: http://financialwww.com/

In yesterdays conversation with Dr. Robert Rich, we determined he had the credentials and industry knowledge to provide Yellowcake Mining (YCKM) with credibility in the uranium space. But, what about the geology? Many juniors have skated onto the radar by using a big name to attract investors. Too often, the propertys geology is lacking the factors which would lead to actual uranium mining. Often, the industry-celebrity name is barely familiar with the companys property.



To our surprise, Dr. Rich was intimately familiar with Yellowcake Minings Juniper Ridge property in southern Wyoming. I had looked at Juniper Ridge in the late 1970s and early 1980s when it was owned by Urangesellschaft (UG), a German company, he told us. At the time there were still fresh open cuts from previous open pit mining there. There was a bit of uranium produced during the last market cycle of uranium, but I was impressed with the potential for it to become a much bigger operation. And then I didnt hear anything about it for over twenty years.

Juniper Ridge Bigger Than We Thought

He explained some of the production costs and geology, describing Juniper Ridge. I think there was a feasibility study that gave favorable results when the market was around $40/pound, Dr. Rich said. Its mineralization is in pods. When I was there before, it looked like I was in a giant prairie dog village.

What kind of mining would take place at Juniper Ridge, then? I think thats one of the reasons why people hope it will be ISR-amenable, Rich answered. Maybe you put a well field on each of the pods and get out what you can at a low production and low processing cost. Because of the propertys history, Dr. Rich wouldnt rule out conventional mining. We have 2,000 drill holes which need to be re-analyzed.

So we spoke with David Frank, the Strathmore Minerals geologist who has been analyzing about one-half of those drill holes on behalf of joint-venture partner Yellowcake Mining. Were getting above average, reasonably good grades, Frank told us. Im not disappointed. Frank scrolled through data during our telephone interview, citing some of the exceptional holes: 0.2, 0.3 and 0.5.

Some are in the percents, Strathmore Minerals (STHJF) president David Miller told us. According to the industry, Juniper Ridge was the best discovery made in southern Wyoming. It was the only one with significant uranium mineralization in the Browns Park Formation. The formation encompasses northeastern Utah, northwestern Colorado, and south-central Wyoming. It is a slightly younger formation than the Wind River or Wasatch formations, said Miller, who was recently announced as director of Yellowcake Mining. This is another tertiary age sandstone formation in Wyoming which contains substantial uranium mineralization.

Miller rated this formation third in the state. He explained the Wind Rivers formation, with Gas Hills and Shirley Basin, was Wyomings most prolific uranium producer, followed by the Wasatch formation, which includes Powder River and the Red Desert.

Historically, Juniper Ridge was the site of 12 small open pit mines. UG nearly brought the property into production in the early 1980s. There were pit designs and it was reportedly permitted. Machinery was ready to break ground. UG had given the project the green light, when the bottom fell out of the uranium market. Later, the Italian company, AGIP bought, hoping for a turnaround in the uranium price. The uranium price drought lasted longer than expected, and it passed through to other hands.

As the uranium price appeared to be heading higher, Strathmore Minerals acquired the property. In mid March, Yellowcake Mining optioned an 80-percent interest in the property, which it will earn by spending $8 million over a five-year period to develop Juniper Ridge. As part of the transaction, Yellowcake issued nine million shares to Strathmore.

Strathmore corporate secretary Bob Hemmerling told us, This is part of our corporate strategy to monetize our non-core assets so that we can advance our flagship projects. Others we spoke with confirmed this was likely to become an economic uranium mining operation.

We are too early days, but I would feel pretty confident in a $60 to $70 (uranium price) market of not having any problem bringing it on-line and making money, Dr. Rich informed us. I think it has potential to become a medium-size producer maybe a couple million pounds a year. The mineralization is not all that deep.

Juniper Ridge is a near surface deposit with uranium mineralization starting at the surface and running a few hundred feet to depth. The deposit was discovered by picking up surface rocks with a Geiger counter, said David Frank. It might be mined by a combination of open pit for the shallow mineralization and ISR for uranium at depth. Possibly by heap leaching piles of ore, Rich said. Or if you went underground, you could heap leach and inflate like heap leaching in place. This was done once at New Lake Mines in Canadas Elliot Lake region.

Miller pointed out, We expect to drill the property, for permitting purposes, in 2007. It was under development to become an open-pit mine, before it was put on stand by by UG. Data compilation is ongoing to analyze more than 2,000 holes previously drilled.

Near-Term Uranium Production in Wyomings Gas Hills

Its a real action property, Strathmores John DeJoia told us from the companys Santa Fe, New Mexico permitting office. Developing it will bring a lot of new applications to the ISR (in situ recovery) uranium industry. DeJoia is intimately familiar with the prospects at Sky because he had evaluated the propertys potential during the last uranium cycle. Its a fairly straightforward ISR mining project, DeJoia added. Sky will be easy drilling because of the formation.

Located in Fremont County near Lander and Riverton, Wyoming (near Strathmores U.S. headquarters), the Sky property is a relatively small uranium deposit about one million pounds U3O8. Why bother with something this small? Its an ideal ISR property to introduce new technologies, DeJoia said. Uranium mined at Sky would be processed through a small, inexpensive plant. It would be modular and portable with new technologies, he added. DeJoia explained this could become a new development for existing remote ion exchange technology. (http://www.stockinterview.com/News/03192007/ISR-Uranium-Remote-Ion-Exchange.html )
This may signal a bigger property development. I think it will be developed in conjunction with other properties in the area, DeJoia speculated. An April 10th news release announced it would be the first of Strathmores properties to begin data collection for permitting purposes. Strathmore has several other Wyoming projects listed on the companys website.

At first we thought the Sky property was a throwaway, like other properties tossed like doggie biscuits by the higher market cap uranium juniors to barking new uranium junior entrants. We talked permeability with David Miller about Sky. The Sky property has about eight-fold the permeability of Christensen Ranch, Miller confided. He would know, because he was chief geologist at this ISR uranium operation for four years. Christensen Ranch had 300 millidarcy; Sky has 2500 millidarcy, Miller said.

Millidarcy is used to measure the permeability of a uranium roll front deposit. The higher the darcy (1.0 or greater shows good promise), the more permeable the deposit. This unit of measurement is widely used in petroleum engineering and geology. We discussed the importance of permeability in our basic ISR series (http://www.stockinterview.com/isr-2.html ).

This may explain why both companies are excited by joint developments in Wyoming. Geologically, both Strathmore Minerals property assets have greater prospectivity than we first thought. These present the significant opportunity Dr. Robert Rich explained to us in Part One of this series.

And what about the hundreds of pesky juniors which have sprung up to rape the uninformed investor? I think that probably half the juniors are just opportunistic, Dr. Rich told us. Thats the nature of entrepreneurial activitylooking for the next horse to ride, like the pony express. Rich further explained, You wear out one, you get on the other. I think there are so many companies that probably had gold in their name prior to them having uranium in their name. When the next thing comes along, whether its nickel or whatever, theyll change the company name and do something different.

Saturday, February 23, 2008

April Uranium Price Forecast: $110/Pound


Source: http://financialwww.com/

Bids are due in Corpus Christi, Texas on April 3rd for the sealed-bid auction, conducted by Mestena Uranium LLC, for another modest lot of 100 thousand pounds of U3O8. Buyers are once again expected to compete aggressively for the material, Nuclear Market Review (NMR) editor Treva Klingbiel wrote in the monthly edition of the nuclear industry trade magazine. Any material offered at fixed price is highly sought after by potential buyers.



Earlier this past week, Entergy Corps (ETR) director of nuclear fuel told Dow Jones MarketWatch, Theres a period where the market is going to be very ugly from a buyers standpoint. The New Orleans-based nuclear utility holds the second largest number of nuclear power plants behind Exelon Corp (EXC). Jim Malone, Exelon Corps nuclear fuels vice president, expects the impact of the rising uranium price to impact utilities at some unspecified future date, but not now.

TradeTechs Price Outlook for April is $95 - $110/pound, compared to the March 31st Exchange Value of $95/pound. According to NMR, no new long-term transactions were reported for March 2007, but one U.S. utility entered the market hoping to obtain more than 2.4 million pounds U3O8 for delivery between 2010 and 2013. A non-U.S. utility is evaluating offers recently received to buy 2 million pounds U3O8 for delivery starting in 2008. Another 12 utilities are seeking or evaluating offers for approximately 37 million pounds U3O8 equivalent for delivery starting this year.

How much strength remains in the uranium price momentum? In a not-yet published interview with Dr. Robert Rich, he told StockInterview that this depends upon whether major mining companies will continue buying, among other factors. During our interview, Dr. Rich discussed his recent role in obtaining material on behalf of an unnamed major mining company to honor clauses in its uranium sales contracts with utilities. According to a bio snapshot published by Yellowcake Mining (OTC BB: YCKM) in a March 5th news release, Dr. Rich has consulted or worked directly for BHP Billiton (BHP), Sumitomo Corp (SSUMF), Ontario Power Gen and several utilities, including Yankee Atomic Electric Company (a subsidiary of New England Electric Systems). Dr. Rich was recently announced as a member of the board of directors for Yellowcake Mining Inc.

According to NMR, active supply and demand dropped during March. The corresponding supply/demand ratio for U3O8 stands at 0.4. In a surprise development, two uranium loan transactions were reported in March. Several parties continue to pursue potential uranium loans. TradeTechs Loan Rate, for the month ending March 31st, remained at 7.50 percent per annum.

Uranium Stock Indexes Moving Higher

According to TheInvestar Group, Canadian and Australian uranium stock indexes moved higher. Matthew Smith of TheInvestar reports, Australia closed the week just off of an all-time high reached earlier in the week. Canada seems to be moving along steadily up, and I do not see anything changing right now. Right now the explorers are lagging behind those companies with proven reserves or projects close to production.

Companies moving closer to production include Forsys Metals (TSX: FSY), which recently announced a significant resource estimation increase at the companys 100-percent owned Valencia uranium project in Namibia. The company plans to issue a Pre-Feasibility Study shortly. Forsys plans to follow the success of Paladin Resources in this country.

One widely watched industry development is Strathmore Minerals (TSX: STM) exclusivity agreement with a Fortune Global 500 company. From what we understand, the due diligence is in progress regarding the development of the companys Roca Honda project and the construction of a uranium mill in the Grants Mineral Belt of New Mexico. Also in the Grants area, independent consulting firm Behre Dolbear & Company affirmed that six properties held by Uranium Resources (OTC BB: URRE) hold 91.7 million pounds U3O8. One of those properties is also in the Roca Honda area; all six are in the Grants Mineral Belt.

New Mexico continues to heat up as privately held Neutron Energy was issued a permit to drill five holes near Ambrosia Lake. This is the third drill permit issued over the past twelve months in the state of New Mexico. Laramide Resources (TSX: LAM) recently completed drilling in the Lara Jara Mesa area, reporting encouraging results. In a March 21st news release, the company announced, Currently Laramide is investigating options on how the (La Jara Mesa) project may be permitted and advanced to a production decision, including discussions with other parties to explore the possibility of a new, regional mill facility in the Grant's District. We believe the potential of New Mexico may be underappreciated by the market

To date, New Mexico has been largely ignored by investors based upon various geographical misperceptions mostly the wide difference in sentiment between Cibola and McKinley counties in the Grants Mineral Belt. Investors have not yet realized the political climate has shifted in New Mexico.

Weve covered uranium developments in New Mexico for the past 18 months and reported on these developments in the New Mexico Series (http://www.stockinterview.com/newmexico-series.html) and in a recent article (http://www.stockinterview.com/News/03132007/Uranium-Mining-Study-New-Mexico.html )

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